Recidivism in a Sample of Serious Adolescent Offenders

Journal of Quantitative Criminology
Robert BrameAlex R Piquero

Abstract

A broad research literature in criminology documents key aspects of how criminal offending develops and changes over the life span. We contribute to this literature by showcasing methods that are useful for studying medium-term patterns of subsequent criminal justice system involvement among a sample of serious adolescent offenders making the transition to early adulthood. Our approach relies on 7 years of post-enrollment follow-up from the Pathways to Desistance Study. Each person in the study was adjudicated delinquent for or convicted of one or more relatively serious offenses during adolescence. Their local jurisdiction juvenile court petition records and their adult FBI arrest records were systematically searched. We estimate in-sample 7-year recidivism rates in the 75% to 80% range. Our analysis also provides recidivism rate estimates among different demographic groups within the sample. Extrapolated long-term recidivism rates are estimated to be on the order of 79% to 89%. The Pathways data suggest that recidivism rates of serious adolescent offenders are high and quite comparable to the rates estimated on other samples of serious offenders in the extant literature. Our analysis also reveals a pattern of heightened recid...Continue Reading

References

Mar 29, 2000·Journal of Mathematical Psychology·L Wasserman
Nov 11, 2009·Developmental Psychology·Kathryn C MonahanEdward P Mulvey
Jul 1, 2004·Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice·Edward P MulveySandra H Losoya
Jan 1, 2004·Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice·Carol A SchubertGeorge P Knight
Dec 21, 2011·Pediatrics·Robert BrameShawn D Bushway
Oct 9, 2014·Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health : CBMH·Robert BrameCarol A Schubert
May 30, 2015·Crime and Delinquency·Robert BrameMichael G Turner

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