PMID: 9542539May 23, 1998Paper

Reconsidering the effects of seat belt laws and their enforcement status

Accident; Analysis and Prevention
T S Dee

Abstract

The debate over the benefits of mandatory seat belt laws and their enforcement status has focused on a controversial empirical enigma: why have these policies, which appear to have increased belt use sharply, had a relatively small impact on traffic fatalities? In this paper, I offer new insights into this question by examining panel data on observed belt use from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration and self-reported data on belt use from pooled cross-sections of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's 1985-1993 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. By exploiting the panel nature of these data, I demonstrate that prior estimates, which have not conditioned on the unobserved time-varying determinants of belt use, have dramatically overestimated the impact of seat belt laws and their enforcement status on belt use. The true effects are more consistent with the modest impact these policies have had on traffic fatalities without having to appeal to the possibility of risk compensation by drivers. However, I find strong evidence in support of the selective recruitment hypothesis. Belt use among those most likely to be involved in traffic accidents (e.g. males, drinkers of alcohol, the young) has been si...Continue Reading

References

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Citations

Dec 6, 2008·International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion·Ghorbanali Mohammadi
Aug 2, 2007·American Journal of Public Health·Laurie F BeckGeorge W Ryan
Mar 19, 2003·Injury Prevention : Journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention·S NakaharaS Wakai
Jun 18, 2003·Injury Prevention : Journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention·M IchikawaS Wakai
Apr 29, 2006·BMC Public Health·William G FernandezJonathan Olshaker
Sep 18, 2007·Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health·Francesco ZambonPaolo Spolaore
Jul 11, 2008·BMC Public Health·Francesco ZambonPaolo Spolaore
May 7, 2011·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Elena ConstantinouAndreas Kapardis
Nov 26, 2009·Journal of Safety Research·Samia Islam, Frank Goetzke
Apr 10, 2002·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·David W Harless, George E Hoffer
Feb 7, 2002·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Philip SalzbergJohn Moffat
Oct 24, 2003·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Robert B Noland, Mohammed A Quddus
Dec 4, 2003·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·S C WongHong K Lo
Feb 14, 2012·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Türker OzkanAdnan Hyder
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Oct 21, 2005·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·Shinji NakaharaSusumu Wakai
Oct 10, 2002·Accident; Analysis and Prevention·David J Houston, Lilliard E Richardson
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May 24, 2012·Development and Change·Kenneth Iain MacDonald, Catherine Corson
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