Recurrent stroke and cardiac risks after first ischemic stroke: the Northern Manhattan Study

Neurology
Mandip S DhamoonMitchell S V Elkind

Abstract

Few population-based studies with long-term follow-up have compared risk of recurrent stroke and cardiac events after first ischemic stroke. The relative risk of these two outcomes may inform treatment decisions. In the population-based Northern Manhattan Study, first ischemic stroke patients age 40 or older were prospectively followed for recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and cause-specific mortality. Fatal cardiac events were defined as death secondary to MI, congestive heart failure, sudden death/arrhythmia, and cardiopulmonary arrest. Risk of events (with 95% CIs) was calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and adjusted for sex and age using Cox proportional hazard models. Mean age (n = 655; median follow-up 4.0 years) was 69.7 +/- 12.7 years. The risk of recurrent stroke was more than twice that of cardiac events (including nonfatal MI) at 30 days and approximately twice cardiac risk at 5 years. The age- and sex-adjusted 5-year risk of fatal or nonfatal recurrent stroke was 18.3% (14.8 to 21.7%), and the 5-year risk of MI or fatal cardiac event was 8.6% (6.0 to 11.2%). The adjusted 5-year risk of nonfatal stroke (14.8%, 11.6 to 17.9%) was approximately twice as high as fatal cardiac events (6.4%, 4.1 to...Continue Reading

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