Risk analysis for the reintroduction and transmission of measles in the post-elimination period in the Americas

Revista Panamericana De Salud Pública = Pan American Journal of Public Health
Daniele Rocha Queiroz LemosLuciano Pamplona de Goes Cavalcanti

Abstract

To propose and test a model for analyzing municipalities' level of risk of reintroduction and transmission of the measles virus in the post-elimination period in the Americas. An ecological-analytical study was conducted using data on the measles epidemic that occurred in 2013-2015 in northeastern Brazil. The variables for analysis were selected after an extensive review of scientific literature on the risk of importation of measles cases. A univariate analysis considering the presence or absence of confirmed cases of measles in 184 municipalities in the state of Ceará, Brazil, was carried out to evaluate the association between the dependent variable and 23 independent variables, grouped into four categories: 1) characteristics of the municipalities; 2) quality indicators for immunization programs and epidemiological surveillance; 3) organizational structure for the public health response; and 4) selected impact indicators. A P value < 0.05 was considered significant. All variables with P < 0.200 were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. Based on the results, the municipalities were categorized by four levels of risk ("low," "medium," "high," and "very high"). The model sensitivity was 95% for concordance between m...Continue Reading

References

Feb 1, 1993·The American Journal of Medicine·M J FineW N Kapoor
Apr 16, 1999·Journal of General Internal Medicine·F A McAlisterA Laupacis
Aug 9, 2003·Science·V A A JansenC J Rhodes
Sep 3, 2005·Critical Care : the Official Journal of the Critical Care Forum·Sylvia den BoerEvert de Jonge
Aug 4, 2006·The New England Journal of Medicine·Amy A ParkerCharles W LeBaron
Nov 16, 2006·BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making·Pablo PerelIan Roberts
Jan 24, 2015·Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease·Stefan H F Hagmann, John C Christenson
May 16, 2015·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Eugene LamJames L Goodson
Jun 17, 2015·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Kimberly M Thompson, Cassie L Odahowski
Aug 21, 2015·Emerging Infectious Diseases·Robério D LeiteAnastácio Q Sousa
Jul 18, 2016·Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis·Kimberly M Thompson, Stephen L Cochi
Mar 4, 2017·Vaccine·Daniele Rocha Queiroz LemosLuciano Pamplona de Góes Cavalcanti

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Jun 1, 2019·Journal of Travel Medicine·Ziad A MemishShahul Ebrahim

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Related Concepts

Trending Feeds

COVID-19

Coronaviruses encompass a large family of viruses that cause the common cold as well as more serious diseases, such as the ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19; formally known as 2019-nCoV). Coronaviruses can spread from animals to humans; symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties; in more severe cases, infection can lead to death. This feed covers recent research on COVID-19.

Blastomycosis

Blastomycosis fungal infections spread through inhaling Blastomyces dermatitidis spores. Discover the latest research on blastomycosis fungal infections here.

Nuclear Pore Complex in ALS/FTD

Alterations in nucleocytoplasmic transport, controlled by the nuclear pore complex, may be involved in the pathomechanism underlying multiple neurodegenerative diseases including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Dementia. Here is the latest research on the nuclear pore complex in ALS and FTD.

Applications of Molecular Barcoding

The concept of molecular barcoding is that each original DNA or RNA molecule is attached to a unique sequence barcode. Sequence reads having different barcodes represent different original molecules, while sequence reads having the same barcode are results of PCR duplication from one original molecule. Discover the latest research on molecular barcoding here.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Chronic fatigue syndrome is a disease characterized by unexplained disabling fatigue; the pathology of which is incompletely understood. Discover the latest research on chronic fatigue syndrome here.

Evolution of Pluripotency

Pluripotency refers to the ability of a cell to develop into three primary germ cell layers of the embryo. This feed focuses on the mechanisms that underlie the evolution of pluripotency. Here is the latest research.

Position Effect Variegation

Position Effect Variagation occurs when a gene is inactivated due to its positioning near heterochromatic regions within a chromosome. Discover the latest research on Position Effect Variagation here.

STING Receptor Agonists

Stimulator of IFN genes (STING) are a group of transmembrane proteins that are involved in the induction of type I interferon that is important in the innate immune response. The stimulation of STING has been an active area of research in the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. Here is the latest research on STING receptor agonists.

Microbicide

Microbicides are products that can be applied to vaginal or rectal mucosal surfaces with the goal of preventing, or at least significantly reducing, the transmission of sexually transmitted infections. Here is the latest research on microbicides.

Related Papers

The Brazilian Journal of Infectious Diseases : an Official Publication of the Brazilian Society of Infectious Diseases
Maria Luiza Almeida BastosGeraldo Bezerra da Silva Junior
Revista Da Sociedade Brasileira De Medicina Tropical
Luciano Pamplona de Góes CavalcantiReinaldo Souza-Santos
Communicable Disease Report. CDR Review
N J Gay, E Miller
Epidemiologia E Serviços De Saúde : Revista Do Sistema Unico De Saúde Do Brasil
Rui Moreira BrazExpedito José de Albuquerque Luna
© 2021 Meta ULC. All rights reserved