Risk factors for bovine Tuberculosis at the national level in Great Britain.

BMC Veterinary Research
P R BessellRowland R Kao

Abstract

The continuing expansion of high incidence areas of bovine Tuberculosis (bTB) in Great Britain (GB) raises a number of questions concerning the determinants of infection at the herd level that are driving spread of the disease. Here, we develop risk factor models to quantify the importance of herd sizes, cattle imports from Ireland, history of bTB, badgers and cattle restocking in determining bTB incidence. We compare the significance of these different risk factors in high and low incidence areas (as determined by parish testing intervals). Large herds and fattening herds are more likely to breakdown in all areas. In areas with lower perceived risk (longer testing intervals), the risk of breaking down is largely determined by the number of animals that a herd buys in from high incidence areas. In contrast, in higher perceived risk areas (shorter testing intervals), the risk of breakdown is defined by the history of disease and the probability of badger occurrence. Despite differences in the management of bTB across different countries of GB (England, Wales and Scotland), we found no significant differences in bTB risk at the national level after these other factors had been taken into account. This paper demonstrates that diff...Continue Reading

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Citations

Aug 13, 2014·Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology·Ariadna Garcia-SaenzAlberto Allepuz
Mar 8, 2013·Preventive Veterinary Medicine·Paul W WhiteKlaas Frankena
Aug 22, 2016·Preventive Veterinary Medicine·Maud MarsotAurélie Courcoul
Jun 25, 2017·Scientific Reports·Kimberly VanderWaalScott Wells
Mar 21, 2019·Royal Society Open Science·Helen R FieldingRobbie A McDonald
Sep 10, 2020·Preventive Veterinary Medicine·Zehaira Romeissa DjafarFarida Benia
Oct 14, 2018·Preventive Veterinary Medicine·Szu-Yu Zoe KaoScott J Wells
Feb 27, 2017·Preventive Veterinary Medicine·Catalina PicassoAndres Perez

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