Risk of death by age and gender from CoVID-19 in Peru, March-May, 2020

Aging
C. V. MunaycoK. Mizumoto

Abstract

Peru implemented strict social distancing measures during the early phase of the epidemic and is now experiencing one of the largest CoVID-19 epidemics in Latin America. Estimates of disease severity are an essential indicator to inform policy decisions about the intensity and duration of interventions needed to mitigate the outbreak. Here we derive delay-adjusted case fatality risks (aCFR) of CoVID-19 in a middle-income country in South America.We utilize government-reported time series of CoVID-19 cases and deaths in Peru stratified by age group and gender.As of May 25, 2020, we estimate the aCFR for men and women at 10.8% (95%CrI: 10.5-11.1%) and 6.5% (95%CrI: 6.2-6.8%), respectively, whereas the overall aCFR was estimated at 9.1% (95%CrI: 8.9-9.3%). Our results show that senior individuals have been the most severely affected by CoVID-19, particularly men, with an aCFR of nearly 60% for those aged 80- years. We also found that men have a significantly higher cumulative morbidity ratio across most age groups (proportion test, p-value< 0.001), with the exception of those aged 0-9 years.The ongoing CoVID-19 pandemic is generating a substantial mortality burden in Peru. Senior individuals, especially those older than 70 years, ...Continue Reading

References

Aug 4, 2005·American Journal of Epidemiology·A C GhaniG M Leung
Dec 25, 2012·Emerging Infectious Diseases·Carrie ReedDaniel B Jernigan
Mar 6, 2013·American Journal of Epidemiology·Jessica Y WongBenjamin J Cowling
Jul 17, 2015·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Marc LipsitchMiguel A Hernán
Nov 23, 2017·Euro Surveillance : Bulletin Européen Sur Les Maladies Transmissibles = European Communicable Disease Bulletin·Shinya TsuzukiHiroshi Nishiura
Dec 6, 2018·Revista peruana de medicina experimental y salud pública·Javier Vargas-HerreraJuan Cortez-Escalante
Feb 3, 2020·Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry·Erin L Belfort
Feb 18, 2020·Lancet·David L HeymannUNKNOWN WHO Scientific and Technical Advisory Group for Infectious Hazards
Feb 18, 2020·Zhonghua liu xing bing xue za zhi = Zhonghua liuxingbingxue zazhi·UNKNOWN Epidemiology Working Group for NCIP Epidemic Response, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
Feb 23, 2020·The Lancet Infectious Diseases·Ensheng DongLauren Gardner
Feb 29, 2020·The New England Journal of Medicine·Wei-Jie GuanUNKNOWN China Medical Treatment Expert Group for Covid-19
Mar 4, 2020·Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease·Alfonso J Rodriguez-MoralesSergio Cimerman
Mar 14, 2020·Emerging Infectious Diseases·Kenji Mizumoto, Gerardo Chowell
Mar 15, 2020·BMJ : British Medical Journal·Peter Lloyd-SherlockMartin McKee
Mar 21, 2020·Lancet·Juliet BedfordUNKNOWN WHO Strategic and Technical Advisory Group for Infectious Hazards
Mar 24, 2020·JAMA : the Journal of the American Medical Association·Graziano OnderSilvio Brusaferro
Mar 28, 2020·MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report·UNKNOWN CDC COVID-19 Response Team
Mar 31, 2020·Lancet· The Lancet
Apr 3, 2020·Euro Surveillance : Bulletin Européen Sur Les Maladies Transmissibles = European Communicable Disease Bulletin·Timothy W RussellAdam J Kucharski
Apr 3, 2020·The Lancet Infectious Diseases·Robert VerityNeil M Ferguson
Apr 9, 2020·Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease·Juan-Carlos NavarroAlfonso J Rodriguez-Morales
Apr 11, 2020·JAMA : the Journal of the American Medical Association·An PanTangchun Wu
Apr 13, 2020·Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease·Camila LorenzFrancisco Chiaravalloti-Neto
Apr 18, 2020·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Jennifer Beam DowdMelinda C Mills
Apr 21, 2020·The Lancet Infectious Diseases·Talha Burki
Apr 23, 2020·JAMA : the Journal of the American Medical Association·Safiya RichardsonTheodoros P Zanos
May 14, 2020·Infectious Disease Modelling·César V MunaycoUNKNOWN Peru COVID-19 working group
May 16, 2020·Clinical Infectious Diseases : an Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America·Xiaowei DengHongjie Yu
May 20, 2020·International Journal of Infectious Diseases : IJID : Official Publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases·Gabriel RainischGerardo Chowell
Jun 1, 2020·Lancet·Barbara Fraser
Jun 20, 2020·MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report·Erin K StokesKathleen E Fullerton
May 26, 2020·MedRxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences·Eduardo A UndurragaK. Mizumoto

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

May 19, 2020·The American Journal of Bioethics : AJOB·Farid Rahimi, Amin Talebi Bezmin Abadi
Dec 18, 2020·Cadernos de saúde pública·Pool Aguilar-LeónErnesto Zavala-Flores
Jan 23, 2021·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Amna TariqGerardo Chowell
Feb 4, 2021·Infectious Diseases of Poverty·Eduardo A UndurragaKenji Mizumoto
Mar 7, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Eunha Shim
Jun 4, 2021·Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health·Savitesh KushwahaTanvi Kiran
Jun 3, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Eunha Shim
Jun 15, 2021·PloS One·Max Carlos Ramírez-SotoGutia Ortega-Cáceres
Jul 4, 2021·Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome·Kennlly J Cardoza-JiménezChristian R Mejia
Jul 3, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Fredy S Monge-RodríguezAnaly Torres-Mejía
Aug 17, 2021·Journal of X-ray Science and Technology·Deyang HuangJinxin Liu
Nov 12, 2021·Journal of Medical Virology·David A Forero-PeñaMaría E Landaeta

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

CoVID
SICOVID
R
Netlab
R Foundation for
rstan

Related Concepts

Related Feeds

Aging Genetics (Keystone)

This feed focuses on aging epidemiology and genetic, epigenetic, and proteomic aspects underlying aging, as well as aging- associated biomarkers. Here the latest research in this domain.

Related Papers

MedRxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences
C. V. MunaycoK. Mizumoto
The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease : the Official Journal of the International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease
K. MizumotoG. Chowell
© 2021 Meta ULC. All rights reserved