Risk of introducing African horse sickness virus into the Netherlands by international equine movements

Preventive Veterinary Medicine
C J de VosGonnie Nodelijk

Abstract

African horse sickness (AHS) is a vector-borne viral disease of equines that is transmitted by Culicoides spp. and can have severe consequences for the horse industry in affected territories. A study was performed to assess the risk of introducing AHS virus (AHSV) into the Netherlands (P_AHS) by international equine movements. The goal of this study was to provide more insight into (a) the regions and equine species that contribute most to this risk, (b) the seasonal variation in this risk, and (c) the effectiveness of measures to prevent introduction of AHSV. Countries worldwide were grouped into three risk regions: (1) high risk, i.e., those countries in which the virus is presumed to circulate, (2) low risk, i.e., those countries that have experienced outbreaks of AHS in the past and/or where the main vector of AHS, Culicoides imicola, is present, and (3) very low risk, i.e., all other countries. A risk model was constructed estimating P_AHS taking into account the probability of release of AHSV in the Netherlands and the probability that local vectors will subsequently transmit the virus to local hosts. Model calculations indicated that P_AHS is very low with a median value of 5.1×10(-4)/year. The risk is highest in July an...Continue Reading

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Citations

Apr 2, 2014·BMC Veterinary Research·Constantianus Jm KoenraadtFrederik Seelig
Sep 19, 2012·Medical and Veterinary Entomology·E ViennetT Balenghien
Aug 22, 2016·Preventive Veterinary Medicine·Egil Andreas Joor FischerCéline Faverjon
Dec 5, 2019·BMC Veterinary Research·Daria A RutkowskaMartha M O'Kennedy
Aug 14, 2020·Parasites & Vectors·Gail E ChapmanMatthew Baylis

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