Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China

Scientific Reports
Qi FuXinshi Zhang

Abstract

Scenario analysis of ecosystem services (ES) can provide a scientific basis for ecosystem management. The objective of this study was to reveal the effects of future land use scenarios on ES in a mountain-oasis-desert system (MODS). We first simulated land use changes for the period of 2015-2035 in Altay Prefecture under three different scenarios: business as usual (BAU), economic development (ED), and ecological conservation (EC). We then evaluated water yield (WY), crop production (CP), soil conservation (SC), sand fixation (SF), carbon sequestration (CS), and aesthetic value (AV) and investigated the multiple interactions among ES at the regional and grid scales. The results showed that SC, CS, and AV continually increased, WY continually decreased under the three scenarios. Our study revealed that the multiple interactions among ES were spatially heterogeneous in the MODS and the spatial heterogeneities changed across scenarios. The locations of and causes for the formation of the multiple interactions among ES were identified based on spatial analysis. This information can help decision-makers develop targeted and differentiated ecosystem management strategies. This study can increase the understanding of the multiple inte...Continue Reading

References

Aug 12, 2000·Science·G C DailyB Walker
Apr 9, 2005·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences·A S van JaarsveldC Fabricius
Mar 3, 2010·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·C Raudsepp-HearneE M Bennett
Jan 8, 2013·Journal of Environmental Management·Y HouF Müller
Jul 3, 2013·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Jiangxiao Qiu, Monica G Turner
Feb 11, 2015·The Science of the Total Environment·Zongming WangChangchun Song
Oct 16, 2015·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Delphine RenardElena M Bennett
Nov 26, 2016·The Science of the Total Environment·Ruifang HaoJinshen Du

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Jul 31, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Lizhou WuChengyi Zhao

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

ggplot2
InVEST ( Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem
R studio
FLUS
R
Matlab
ArcGIS
InVEST
GeoSOS

Related Concepts

Related Feeds

Birth Defects

Birth defects encompass structural and functional alterations that occur during embryonic or fetal development and are present since birth. The cause may be genetic, environmental or unknown and can result in physical and/or mental impairment. Here is the latest research on birth defects.