Spatiotemporal variability in dengue transmission intensity in Jakarta, Indonesia

PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Megan O'DriscollIlaria Dorigatti

Abstract

Approximately 70% of the global burden of dengue disease occurs on the Asian continent, where many large urban centres provide optimal environments for sustained endemic transmission and periodic epidemic cycles. Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia, is a densely populated megacity with hyperendemic dengue transmission. Characterization of the spatiotemporal distribution of dengue transmission intensity is of key importance for optimal implementation of novel control and prevention programmes, including vaccination. In this paper we use mathematical models to provide the first detailed description of spatial and temporal variability in dengue transmission intensity in Jakarta. We applied catalytic models in a Bayesian framework to age-stratified dengue case notification data to estimate dengue force of infection and reporting probabilities in 42 subdistricts of Jakarta. The model was fitted to yearly and average annual data covering a 10-year period between 2008 and 2017. We estimated a long-term average annual transmission intensity of 0.130 (95%CrI: 0.129-0.131) per year in Jakarta province, ranging from 0.090 (95%CrI: 0.077-0.103) to 0.164 (95%CrI: 0.153-0.174) across subdistricts. Annual average transmission intensity in Jakar...Continue Reading

References

Jan 1, 1988·The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene·D S BurkeR M Scott
Mar 2, 2006·Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene·Agus SuwandonoPatrick J Blair
Nov 13, 2007·Lancet·Scott B Halstead
Nov 17, 2009·The Journal of Infectious Diseases·Tran Nguyen Bich ChauCameron P Simmons
Sep 3, 2010·PloS One·Paul S WikramaratnaMario Recker
Apr 14, 2012·Tropical Medicine and Health·Duane J Gubler
Jul 19, 2012·Bulletin of the World Health Organization·Amitava Banerjee
Apr 9, 2013·Nature·Samir BhattSimon I Hay
Jun 19, 2013·The Journal of Infectious Diseases·Sandra OlkowskiSteven T Stoddard
Jul 30, 2014·BMC Infectious Diseases·Mulya Rahma KaryantiPatricia Bruijning-Verhagen
Jul 12, 2016·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Natsuko ImaiNeil M Ferguson
Aug 18, 2016·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Joshua NealonAlain Bouckenooghe
Feb 12, 2017·Vaccine· World Health Organization
May 27, 2017·Epidemiology and Infection·T Y M WahyonoM Nadjib
Jun 16, 2017·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Ari PrayitnoSri Rezeki Hadinegoro
Nov 4, 2017·Science·Leah C KatzelnickEva Harris
Dec 19, 2017·PloS One·Penny Humaidah HamidCarlos Hermosilla
Jun 14, 2018·The New England Journal of Medicine·Saranya SridharCarlos A DiazGranados
Nov 6, 2018·PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases·Clarence C TamSri Rezeki Hadinegoro

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Apr 4, 2021·Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease·Ayodhia Pitaloka PasaribuKinley Wangdi

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Software Mentioned

R
QGIS
Wikimedia

Related Concepts

Trending Feeds

COVID-19

Coronaviruses encompass a large family of viruses that cause the common cold as well as more serious diseases, such as the ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19; formally known as 2019-nCoV). Coronaviruses can spread from animals to humans; symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties; in more severe cases, infection can lead to death. This feed covers recent research on COVID-19.

Blastomycosis

Blastomycosis fungal infections spread through inhaling Blastomyces dermatitidis spores. Discover the latest research on blastomycosis fungal infections here.

Nuclear Pore Complex in ALS/FTD

Alterations in nucleocytoplasmic transport, controlled by the nuclear pore complex, may be involved in the pathomechanism underlying multiple neurodegenerative diseases including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Dementia. Here is the latest research on the nuclear pore complex in ALS and FTD.

Applications of Molecular Barcoding

The concept of molecular barcoding is that each original DNA or RNA molecule is attached to a unique sequence barcode. Sequence reads having different barcodes represent different original molecules, while sequence reads having the same barcode are results of PCR duplication from one original molecule. Discover the latest research on molecular barcoding here.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Chronic fatigue syndrome is a disease characterized by unexplained disabling fatigue; the pathology of which is incompletely understood. Discover the latest research on chronic fatigue syndrome here.

Evolution of Pluripotency

Pluripotency refers to the ability of a cell to develop into three primary germ cell layers of the embryo. This feed focuses on the mechanisms that underlie the evolution of pluripotency. Here is the latest research.

Position Effect Variegation

Position Effect Variagation occurs when a gene is inactivated due to its positioning near heterochromatic regions within a chromosome. Discover the latest research on Position Effect Variagation here.

STING Receptor Agonists

Stimulator of IFN genes (STING) are a group of transmembrane proteins that are involved in the induction of type I interferon that is important in the innate immune response. The stimulation of STING has been an active area of research in the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. Here is the latest research on STING receptor agonists.

Microbicide

Microbicides are products that can be applied to vaginal or rectal mucosal surfaces with the goal of preventing, or at least significantly reducing, the transmission of sexually transmitted infections. Here is the latest research on microbicides.

Related Papers

BioRxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
Megan O'DriscollIlaria Dorigatti
Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
P F van PeenenR Irsiana
The Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Medicine and Public Health
Monika S SitepuSaranath Lawpoolsri
Asian Journal of Infectious Diseases
W SuharyonoJ S Saroso
© 2021 Meta ULC. All rights reserved