Stability and prediction of physical activity in 5-, 10-, and 28-year follow-up studies among industrial employees

Scandinavian Journal of Medicine & Science in Sports
J KirjonenP Leino-Arjas

Abstract

The aim of the study was to examine the stability of voluntary and household physical activity (PA) and to compare it with that of the use of the most common stimulants. The prospective cohort study comprised of follow-ups at 5, 10, and 28 years at baseline in 1973 in four plants of an industrial corporation in Finland. A systematic, non-proportional sample (n=902, age range 18-64 years) stratified for age, gender, and occupational status was drawn from the employees. Scores of PA were based on a questionnaire and interviews. Logistic regression models with proportional odds assumptions were counted. The 5-year stability (Spearman's rho) of PA time was 0.44 (PA intensity 0.44), the respective 10-year coefficient was 0.26 (0.32), and that in the 28-year follow-up was 0.18 (0.20). The stability of PA decreased rapidly from 1973 to 1983 and more slowly thereafter. Changes along the follow-up reflect a polarization of the distributions of PA within the sample. Age and an initially low level of activity were the strongest predictors of inactivity. The stability coefficient of smoking and alcohol consumption was twice as high as that of PA. Stimulant use was a greater factor in the individual's lifestyle than PA.

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Citations

Oct 4, 2012·The International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity·Katja BorodulinRitva Prättälä
Dec 7, 2010·Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise·Bente MorsethTom Wilsgaard
Nov 21, 2013·European Spine Journal : Official Publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society·Sanna KääriäPäivi Leino-Arjas
May 24, 2014·Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics·Philipe de Souto Barreto, Anne-Marie Ferrandez
Jan 22, 2009·Archives of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation·Daniel K WhiteLinda Tickle-Degnen
Sep 15, 2016·European Journal of Clinical Nutrition·E MertensB Deforche
Mar 7, 2008·European Journal of Epidemiology·Tea LallukkaPäivi Leino-Arjas
Oct 15, 2013·Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise·Risto TelamaOlli T Raitakari

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