Survival Prognosis in Very Old Adults

Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
Mikael ThinggaardKaare Christensen

Abstract

To determine whether simple functional indicators are predictors of survival prognosis in very old adults. In-person survey conducted over a 3-month period in 1998; assessment of survival over a 15-year follow-up period. Denmark. All 3,600 Danes born in 1905 and living in Denmark in 1998, were invited to participate regardless of residence and health; 2,262 (63%) participated in the survey: 1,814 (80.2%) in person and 448 (19.8%) through a proxy. Socioeconomic factors, medications and diseases, activities of daily living, physical performance, cognition, depression symptomatology, self-rated health, and all-cause mortality, evaluated as average remaining lifespan and chance of surviving to 100 years. Men aged 92 to 93 had an overall 6.0% chance of surviving to 100 years, whereas the chance for women was 11.4%. Being able to rise without use of hands increased the chance for men to 11.2% (95% confidence interval (CI)=7.7-14.7) and for women to 22.0% (95% CI=18.9-25.1). When combining this with a Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores from 28 to 30, the chances were 21.7% (95% CI=11.5-31.9) for men and 34.2% (95% CI=24.8-43.5) for women. Chair stand score combined with MMSE score is a quick and easy way to estimate overall c...Continue Reading

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Citations

May 28, 2016·Nature Reviews. Endocrinology·Kaare Christensen, Matt McGue
Aug 20, 2016·The Journals of Gerontology. Series A, Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences·Jacob K PedersenKaare Christensen
Dec 29, 2016·Journal of the American Geriatrics Society·Alessandra MarengoniStefano Volpato
Sep 25, 2018·Clinical Cardiology·Duc DangRaphaël P Martins
Oct 3, 2019·BMC Medicine·Alberto ZucchelliDebora Rizzuto
Jan 14, 2020·The Journals of Gerontology. Series A, Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences·Mikael ThinggaardKaare Christensen
Oct 5, 2019·Scandinavian Journal of Clinical and Laboratory Investigation·Mette WodKaare Christensen
Jan 20, 2017·Aging·Marianne NygaardLene Christiansen
Dec 28, 2018·European Journal of Public Health·Linda Juel AhrenfeldtRune Lindahl-Jacobsen
Feb 27, 2020·JAMA Network Open·Nina BekerHenne Holstege
Sep 11, 2020·European Geriatric Medicine·Kristoffer Kittelmann BrockhattingenJesper Ryg
Dec 14, 2017·Nature Communications·Friederike FlachsbartAlmut Nebel
Apr 17, 2021·Journal of the American College of Cardiology·Carlota F PrendesNikolaos Tsilimparis
Aug 15, 2021·Journal of the American Medical Directors Association·Jesper RygKaren Andersen-Ranberg
Dec 31, 2021·Scandinavian Journal of Public Health·Louise SundbergStefan Fors

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