Synergistic effects of climate and land-use change influence broad-scale avian population declines

Global Change Biology
Joseph M NorthrupMatthew G Betts

Abstract

Climate and land-use changes are expected to be the primary drivers of future global biodiversity loss. Although theory suggests that these factors impact species synergistically, past studies have either focused on only one in isolation or have substituted space for time, which often results in confounding between drivers. Tests of synergistic effects require congruent time series on animal populations, climate change and land-use change replicated across landscapes that span the gradient of correlations between the drivers of change. Using a unique time series of high-resolution climate (measured as temperature and precipitation) and land-use change (measured as forest change) data, we show that these drivers of global change act synergistically to influence forest bird population declines over 29 years in the Pacific Northwest of the United States. Nearly half of the species examined had declined over this time. Populations declined most in response to loss of early seral and mature forest, with responses to loss of early seral forest amplified in landscapes that had warmed over time. In addition, birds declined more in response to loss of mature forest in areas that had dried over time. Climate change did not appear to impa...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jun 21, 2019·Global Change Biology·Mattia FalaschiGentile Francesco Ficetola
Jan 21, 2020·Global Change Biology·Kelly O MaloneyJohn A Young
Apr 10, 2020·The Journal of Animal Ecology·Frances E BudermanDavid N Koons
Mar 20, 2020·Nature·J Nicholas HendershotGretchen C Daily
Apr 28, 2020·Global Change Biology·David L Vergara-TabaresJavier Nori
Mar 24, 2021·The Journal of Animal Ecology·Sarah P SaundersChad B Wilsey
Oct 10, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Rassim KhelifaMichael J Samways
Dec 28, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Lucas StreibRalf B Schäfer
Jan 15, 2022·Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society·Kara G LeimbergerMatthew G Betts
Jan 11, 2022·Global Change Biology·Katherine DuBoisJohn J Stachowicz

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