Temperature-induced excess mortality in Moscow, Russia

International Journal of Biometeorology
Boris Revich, Dmitri Shaposhnikov

Abstract

After considering the observed long-term trends in average monthly temperatures distribution in Moscow, the authors evaluated how acute mortality responded to changes in daily average, minimum and maximum temperatures throughout the year, and identified vulnerable population groups, by age and causes of death. A plot of the basic mortality-temperature relationship indicated that this relationship was V-shaped with the minimum around 18 degrees C. Each 1 degree C increment of average daily temperature above 18 degrees C resulted in an increase in deaths from all non-accidental causes by 2.8%, from coronary heart disease by 2.7%, from cerebrovascular diseases by 4.7%, and from respiratory diseases by 8.7%, with a lag of 0 or 1 day. Each 1 degrees C drop of average daily temperature from +18 degrees C to -10 degrees C resulted in an increase in deaths from all non-accidental causes by 0.49%, from coronary heart disease by 0.57%, from cerebrovascular diseases by 0.78%, and from respiratory diseases by 1.5%, with lags of maximum association varying from 3 days for non-accidental mortality to 6 days for cerebrovascular mortality. In the age group 75+ years, corresponding risks were consistently higher by 13-30%. The authors also esti...Continue Reading

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Citations

Jul 10, 2008·International Journal of Biometeorology·Jan Kyselý, Bohumír Kríz
Feb 16, 2010·International Journal of Biometeorology·Jennifer K VanosNatasha A Kenny
Feb 20, 2010·International Journal of Biometeorology·Eva Plavcová, Jan Kyselý
Jan 6, 2011·International Journal of Biometeorology·Youn-Hee LimHo Kim
Sep 27, 2012·International Journal of Biometeorology·Jeffrey A BakalPaul W Armstrong
Jul 9, 2013·Mutation Research·Olga KalininaPascal Pineau
May 23, 2012·Environmental Health : a Global Access Science Source·Yuming GuoShilu Tong
Aug 23, 2012·Environmental Health : a Global Access Science Source·Zhaoxing TianYuming Guo
Apr 3, 2014·Environmental Health : a Global Access Science Source·Yanshen ZhangSheng Wang
May 25, 2010·Air Quality, Atmosphere, & Health·Boris Revich, Dmitri Shaposhnikov
Jan 28, 2012·The Science of the Total Environment·Youn-Hee LimHo Kim
Sep 3, 2013·The Science of the Total Environment·Cuicui WangHaidong Kan
Dec 7, 2014·Environmental Health : a Global Access Science Source·Ariana ZekaPatrick Goodman
Sep 3, 2014·International Journal of Biometeorology·Wen Yi, Albert P C Chan
Aug 7, 2010·Scandinavian Journal of Public Health·Michele Arcangelo Martiello, Mariano Vincenzo Giacchi
Jul 19, 2018·International Journal of Environmental Health Research·Natalia ShartovaBoris Revich
Feb 19, 2011·The Journal of Development Studies·Ana Flavia Machado, Rafael Perez Ribas Ribas
Nov 22, 2019·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Yuxia MaJi Zhou
Aug 25, 2020·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Yuxia MaZhiang Yu
Apr 23, 2017·The International Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine·Hanlu GaoYashuang Zhao
Apr 24, 2018·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Yuxia MaZhiang Yu
Dec 7, 2018·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Yuxia MaJi Zhou
Feb 25, 2019·International Journal of Biometeorology·Mónica RodriguesAlfredo Rocha
Jun 5, 2020·International Journal of Biometeorology·Dalia Martinaitiene, Nijole Raskauskiene
Dec 9, 2020·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Kingsley Katleho MokoenaAsenso Theophilus Quachie
May 2, 2021·Environmental Science and Pollution Research International·Fengliu FengHaoran Jiao

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