The Shape of Ecosystem Management to Come: Anticipating Risks and Fostering Resilience

Bioscience
Rupert Seidl

Abstract

Global change is increasingly challenging the sustainable provisioning of ecosystem services to society. Addressing future uncertainty and risk has therefore become a central problem of ecosystem management. With risk management and resilience-based stewardship, two contrasting approaches have been proposed to address this issue. Whereas one is concentrated on anticipating and mitigating risks, the other is focused on fostering the ability to absorb perturbations and maintain desired properties. While they have hitherto been discussed largely separately in the literature, I here propose a unifying framework of anticipating risks and fostering resilience in ecosystem management. Anticipatory action is advocated when the predictability of risk is high and sufficient knowledge to address it is available. Conversely, in situations in which predictability and knowledge are limited, resilience-based measures are paramount. I conclude that, by adopting a purposeful combination of insights from risk and resilience research, we can make ecosystem services provisioning more robust to future uncertainty and change.

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Citations

Mar 12, 2016·The Journal of Applied Ecology·Rupert SeidlJeffrey A Hicke
Oct 30, 2015·Global Change Biology·Yan BoulangerLouis De Grandpré
May 27, 2015·Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society·Dominik Thom, Rupert Seidl
Feb 14, 2018·Science·Marek KonarzewskiJerzy Duszyński
Apr 13, 2018·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·Dominique BoucherSylvie Gauthier
Dec 1, 2017·Ecology and Evolution·Elena CantarelloMelissa S Lucash
Nov 28, 2018·Nature Communications·Cornelius SenfRupert Seidl
Nov 26, 2015·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·Erin S DunlopNils C Stenseth
Sep 2, 2017·Nature Climate Change·Rupert SeidlChristopher P O Reyer
Apr 24, 2018·The Journal of Applied Ecology·Thibault DatryClifford N Dahm
Mar 6, 2021·The Journal of Ecology·Andreas SommerfeldRupert Seidl
May 11, 2021·Global Change Biology·Cornelius Senf, Rupert Seidl
May 13, 2018·The Science of the Total Environment·Algirdas AugustaitisRainer Matyssek
Aug 8, 2021·The Science of the Total Environment·Tomáš HlásnyLaura Dobor
Oct 30, 2021·Global Change Biology·Zachary J RobbinsRobert M Scheller
Dec 3, 2021·Global Change Biology·Yan BoulangerMartin P Girardin

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