Tracking and forecasting ecosystem interactions in real time

Proceedings. Biological Sciences
Ethan R DeyleGeorge Sugihara

Abstract

Evidence shows that species interactions are not constant but change as the ecosystem shifts to new states. Although controlled experiments and model investigations demonstrate how nonlinear interactions can arise in principle, empirical tools to track and predict them in nature are lacking. Here we present a practical method, using available time-series data, to measure and forecast changing interactions in real systems, and identify the underlying mechanisms. The method is illustrated with model data from a marine mesocosm experiment and limnologic field data from Sparkling Lake, WI, USA. From simple to complex, these examples demonstrate the feasibility of quantifying, predicting and understanding state-dependent, nonlinear interactions as they occur in situ and in real time--a requirement for managing resources in a nonlinear, non-equilibrium world.

References

Nov 29, 1990·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences·G SugiharaR M May
May 1, 1970·Theoretical Population Biology·R MacArthur
Feb 1, 1980·Theoretical Population Biology·P A Abrams
Mar 19, 1996·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·G SugiharaK D Allan
Mar 5, 1999·Science·P A DixonG Sugihara
Mar 21, 2003·Oecologia·Claudio Gratton, Robert F Denno
Jun 12, 2004·Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society·Jonathan M JeschkeRalph Tollrian
Sep 9, 2006·Ecology Letters·S R Carpenter, W A Brock
Feb 15, 2008·Nature·Elisa BenincàStephen P Ellner
Apr 19, 2008·Nature·Christian N K AndersonGeorge Sugihara
Jul 11, 2009·Journal of Theoretical Biology·Maria-Josefina Hernandez
Oct 23, 2009·Ecology Letters·Elisa BenincàJef Huisman
Sep 22, 2012·Science·George SugiharaStephan Munch
Mar 29, 2013·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Ethan R DeyleGeorge Sugihara
Mar 4, 2015·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Hao YeGeorge Sugihara

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Citations

Nov 2, 2016·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Ethan R DeyleGeorge Sugihara
Nov 23, 2016·Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America·Timothy E Walsworth, Daniel E Schindler
Dec 29, 2016·PloS One·Sarah Cobey, Edward B Baskerville
Feb 2, 2017·Ecology·James T ThorsonDouglas P Swain
Mar 16, 2017·Ecology·John A McGowanGeorge Sugihara
May 1, 2019·Nature Ecology & Evolution·Simone Cenci, Serguei Saavedra
Nov 2, 2018·Journal of the Royal Society, Interface·Simone Cenci, Serguei Saavedra
Oct 17, 2019·BioEssays : News and Reviews in Molecular, Cellular and Developmental Biology·Yize ChenYang-Yu Liu
Jan 23, 2020·Journal of the Royal Society, Interface·Simone CenciSerguei Saavedra
Jul 11, 2019·PloS One·Karina LaneriRoberto André Kraenkel
Mar 3, 2017·Journal of the Royal Society, Interface·Vasilis DakosGeorge Sugihara
Sep 19, 2017·Ecology Letters·J Christopher D TerryMichael B Bonsall
May 5, 2018·Nature Plants·Hirokazu TojuE Toby Kiers
Sep 3, 2020·Chaos·Yifan ZhangDuxin Chen
Aug 16, 2017·Nature Ecology & Evolution·Hirokazu TojuJohn N Thompson
Dec 25, 2019·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·Tanya L Rogers, Stephan B Munch
Jun 2, 2020·Ecology Letters·Tanya L RogersCelia C Symons
Apr 26, 2020·Scientific Reports·Alfredo Giron-NavaGeorge Sugihara
Jul 18, 2020·Frontiers in Microbiology·Hirokazu TojuShinji Fukuda
Aug 18, 2020·Applied and Environmental Microbiology·Zhong YuFangang Meng
Dec 11, 2020·Ecology Letters·Nicole NovaErin A Mordecai
Jan 16, 2021·The Journal of Animal Ecology·Lucas P MedeirosSerguei Saavedra
May 5, 2021·Ecology Letters·Adam Thomas ClarkStanley Harpole
Aug 26, 2021·Nature Communications·Joan DudneyJohn J Battles
Oct 4, 2021·Ecology Letters·Chun-Wei ChangChih-Hao Hsieh

❮ Previous
Next ❯

Related Concepts

Trending Feeds

COVID-19

Coronaviruses encompass a large family of viruses that cause the common cold as well as more serious diseases, such as the ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19; formally known as 2019-nCoV). Coronaviruses can spread from animals to humans; symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties; in more severe cases, infection can lead to death. This feed covers recent research on COVID-19.

Blastomycosis

Blastomycosis fungal infections spread through inhaling Blastomyces dermatitidis spores. Discover the latest research on blastomycosis fungal infections here.

Nuclear Pore Complex in ALS/FTD

Alterations in nucleocytoplasmic transport, controlled by the nuclear pore complex, may be involved in the pathomechanism underlying multiple neurodegenerative diseases including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Dementia. Here is the latest research on the nuclear pore complex in ALS and FTD.

Applications of Molecular Barcoding

The concept of molecular barcoding is that each original DNA or RNA molecule is attached to a unique sequence barcode. Sequence reads having different barcodes represent different original molecules, while sequence reads having the same barcode are results of PCR duplication from one original molecule. Discover the latest research on molecular barcoding here.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Chronic fatigue syndrome is a disease characterized by unexplained disabling fatigue; the pathology of which is incompletely understood. Discover the latest research on chronic fatigue syndrome here.

Evolution of Pluripotency

Pluripotency refers to the ability of a cell to develop into three primary germ cell layers of the embryo. This feed focuses on the mechanisms that underlie the evolution of pluripotency. Here is the latest research.

Position Effect Variegation

Position Effect Variagation occurs when a gene is inactivated due to its positioning near heterochromatic regions within a chromosome. Discover the latest research on Position Effect Variagation here.

STING Receptor Agonists

Stimulator of IFN genes (STING) are a group of transmembrane proteins that are involved in the induction of type I interferon that is important in the innate immune response. The stimulation of STING has been an active area of research in the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. Here is the latest research on STING receptor agonists.

Microbicide

Microbicides are products that can be applied to vaginal or rectal mucosal surfaces with the goal of preventing, or at least significantly reducing, the transmission of sexually transmitted infections. Here is the latest research on microbicides.

© 2022 Meta ULC. All rights reserved