Transmission dynamics of foot and mouth disease in selected outbreak areas of northwest Ethiopia

Epidemiology and Infection
B TadesseWudu T Jemberu

Abstract

Foot and mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious and economically important disease of cloven-hoofed animals, which is endemic in Ethiopia. An outbreak follow-up study was undertaken to quantify the transmission parameters of FMD in the crop-livestock mixed (CLM) system and commercial dairy farms in selected areas of northwest Ethiopia. The transmission parameters were quantified using a generalised linear model (GLM) based on a susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) epidemic model. The per day average transmission rate between animals was 0.26 (95% CI 0.22-0.32) and 0.33 (95% CI 0.21-0.57) in the CLM system and in the commercial dairy farms, respectively. The average basic reproduction ratio of FMD was 1.68 (95% CI 1.42-2.07) in the CLM system and 1.98 (95% CI 1.26-3.42) in the commercial dairy farms. The medium per day transmission rate and moderate basic reproduction ratio observed in this study indicated that a vaccination coverage needed to stop transmission of the disease in these populations might not be very high.

References

May 11, 2002·Epidemiology and Infection·A G J VelthuisM van Boven
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Jul 3, 2007·Mathematical Biosciences·A G J VelthuisJ De Bree
Jun 3, 2014·Veterinary Research·Carla Bravo de RuedaAldo Dekker

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