Trust and fertility in uncertain times.

Population Studies
Arnstein AassveLetizia Mencarini

Abstract

Recent studies have shown higher uncertainty to be associated with fertility decline. This study considers the role of social trust as a coping mechanism when general uncertainty increases. We analyse the fertility data of Italian provinces from 2004 to 2013, thereby incorporating the period of economic recession, which unexpectedly and exogenously increased uncertainty across the population. We find a robust and significantly positive impact of social trust on fertility, which is stronger among younger age groups. Moreover, we find that the buffer effect of trust decreases with the level of public childcare provision, suggesting that low trust endowments may be counterbalanced through public policy.

References

Aug 6, 2002·European Journal of Population = Revue Européenne De Démographie·P Ranjan
Jun 3, 2005·Nature·Michael KosfeldErnst Fehr
Mar 5, 2008·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·David CesariniBjörn Wallace
Nov 9, 2011·Population and Development Review·Tomáš SobotkaDimiter Philipov
Dec 23, 2016·Social Forces; a Scientific Medium of Social Study and Interpretation·Arnstein AassveLéa Pessin

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Citations

Sep 2, 2021·Population Studies·Arianna GattaDaniele Vignoli

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