Jul 12, 2016

Using qualitative models to define sustainable management for the commons in data poor conditions.

BioRxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
Francesca ManciniDavid Lusseau


Nearly 50 years after Hardin's "tragedy of the commons", we have not yet found an analytical solution to the issue of governing common-pool resources (CPR). We often have a good understanding of the qualitative relationships between the principal actors in socioecological systems (SESs), but classical quantitative approaches require a tremendous amount of data to understand the drivers of SESs sustainability. Here we show that qualitative modelling approaches can provide important governance insights for SESs that are understood but not quantified. We used Loop Analysis to test the outcomes of different management regimes on a simple nature-based tourism SES described by economic, social and environmental variables. We tested the sustainability of different management scenarios on this system and we identified the necessary conditions to achieve it. Here, sustainability is defined as the presence of a stable equilibrium and the maintenance of economic profitability of the industry, environmental quality and social justice (triple bottom line- TBL- sustainability). We found that hybrid management strategies have higher potential for sustainable development than exclusively market-based or centralised governance structures. Manag...Continue Reading

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Mentioned in this Paper

Resource Education
Environmental Infrastructure
Systemic Disease
Base-Base Mismatch
Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation
Qualitative Research
Disease Management

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