Using Uncertain Climate and Development Information in Health Adaptation Planning

Current Environmental Health Reports
Kristie L EbiTania Busch Isaksen

Abstract

To aid health adaptation decision-making, there are increasing efforts to provide climate projections at finer temporal and spatial scales. Relying solely on projected climate changes for longer-term decisions makes the implicit assumption that sources of vulnerability other than climate change will remain the same, which is not very probable. Over longer time horizons, this approach likely over estimates the extent to which climate change could alter the magnitude and pattern of health outcomes, introducing systematic bias into health management decisions. To balance this potential bias, decision-makers also need projections of other drivers of health outcomes that are, like climate change, recognized determinants of some disease burdens. Incorporating projections via an iterative process that allows for regular updates based on new knowledge and experience has the potential to improve the utility of fine-scale climate projections in health system adaptation to climate change.

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Citations

Dec 22, 2017·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Samuel Sellers, Kristie L Ebi
Mar 23, 2018·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Guillaume Rohat
Apr 20, 2018·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Nicola BanwellCordia Chu
Jul 6, 2020·Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health·Chris G Buse, Rebecca Patrick
Nov 24, 2019·The Science of the Total Environment·Guillaume RohatMartin van Maarseveen
Apr 13, 2021·Journal of Urban Health : Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine·Mónica RodriguesAlfredo Rocha
Aug 8, 2021·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health·Jaime MadriganoBenjamin L Preston

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