Weak signal detection: A discrete window of opportunity for achieving 'Vision 90:90:90'?

SAHARA J : Journal of Social Aspects of HIV/AIDS Research Alliance
Christopher J BurmanPeter Delobelle

Abstract

UNAIDS' Vision 90:90:90 is a call to 'end AIDS'. Developing predictive foresight of the unpredictable changes that this journey will entail could contribute to the ambition of 'ending AIDS'. There are few opportunities for managing unpredictable changes. We introduce 'weak signal detection' as a potential opportunity to fill this void. Combining futures and complexity theory, we reflect on two pilot case studies that involved the Archetype Extraction technique and the SenseMaker(®) Collector(™) tool. Both the piloted techniques have the potentials to surface weak signals--but there is room for improvement. A management response to a complex weak signal requires pattern management, rather than an exclusive focus on behaviour management. Weak signal detection is a window of opportunity to improve resilience to unpredictable changes in the HIV/AIDS landscape that can both reduce the risk that emerges from the changes and increase the visibility of opportunities to exploit the unpredictable changes that could contribute to 'ending AIDS'.

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Citations

Sep 20, 2017·SAHARA J : Journal of Social Aspects of HIV/AIDS Research Alliance·Chris William Callaghan
Dec 27, 2018·Cancer Biotherapy & Radiopharmaceuticals·Bo SongJinyin Yan
Dec 28, 2017·European Journal of Gastroenterology & Hepatology·Thierry PoynardUNKNOWN FibroFrance-Obese group

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Methods Mentioned

BETA
RSA
Extraction

Software Mentioned

Archetype Extraction
SenseMaker ® Collector
SenseMaker Collector
Archetype
RSA
Google Scholar
Cynefin
SenseMaker
Whoonga
Landscape

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